Lookout Point – Volcano Excursion – Guatemala (Archive photo by JJM 2015)

Darkness Before Dawn (Part 1-A) – The Rise and Fall of Polarisation (2012 – 2032)

Note: Some segments of this text contain updated and expanded extracts of information published previously in the Energy Shifts series.


Throughout the ages, there have been times of turmoil and times of peace. In recent years, many nations have been going through increasing polarisation within their societies. Considering the seriousness of many of the crises that our planet is facing, a unified approach to dealing with them globally is likely to remain elusive as long as social and political polarisation are so severe that they overshadow all other issues. This situation, with no clear end in sight, raises several important questions.

Q: Why has the World Become so Polarised?

What is the reason for so much polarisation? Should we not have moved into global harmony after 2012? Why is the polarisation so extreme? How long will it last? How well are we handling it? Are humans capable of living in harmony at all? Does polarisation have any purpose? When will we arrive at ‘peak polarisation’? How can we deal with the pressing problems facing the world today in the midst of so much polarisation?

Fortunately, some of these questions can already be answered, but they are more accessible when taking a metaphysical view. Keeping an open mind is, therefore, recommended as we delve into these rather complex issues. During our discussion, it will become evident that some answers automatically lead to more questions which we will be exploring, too.

Q: Where does the Polarisation come from?

The high polarity that has been present in the world since around 2014 is due to a shift in metaphysical energy that took place after 2012 (as detailed in Energy Shifts – Parts 2 & 3). There was a change from relative stability and harmony during the 20 years prior to 2012 to a significant deterioration in social cohesion after that. This turn of events has been contrary to the high expectations that many people had had for a more unified post-2012 world.

Q: Why did we Not Move into Harmony after 2012?

Some predictions for the post-2012 world drew heavily on modern interpretations of well-known prophecies found in the mythology of indigenous peoples in the Americas. For example, The Hopi Prophecy [1] and The Prophecy of The Eagle and The Condor [2] were commonly referenced.

The Hopi Prophecy especially speaks of the potentiality for future apocalyptic events which could destroy parts of the world, while both prophecies speak of the possibility of a new world of collaboration and harmony that could unfold within a new social order – which could come about if humanity chooses the right course of action.

There had been a growing interest in Maya calendars during the decades leading up to 2012. This interest broke into Western consciousness mainly through the entertainment industry. Blockbuster films, for example, tended to highlight the apocalyptic elements of various indigenous prophecies (such as the Hopi, Aztec, Inca as well as the Maya civilisations) but often ascribed all such elements to the Mayas.

In contrast, esoteric spiritual communities and writers in the Mayanism [3] movement tended mainly to highlight elements in the prophecies that related to a future time of harmony and unity; however, they rarely delved deeply into what it would take for humanity to arrive at such a long-lasting state of equilibrium. The mindset seemed to be that an automatic shift in consciousness would (hopefully) bring about a state of harmony naturally.

Looking Back:

Today, in the middle of 2020 (at the time of writing), we are able to look back at what has happened since 2012. Many events that could be described as apocalyptic have already come to pass. Most of them have more or less resembled what the prophecies had predicted – but, perhaps, not quite to the extent that they were depicted in the movies.

Earthquakes [4], volcanoes [5], extreme droughts [6] [7], unprecedented wild fires [8] and insect plagues [9], as well as human pandemics, such as MERS [10], Ebola [11], Zika [12] and presently, Covid-19 [13], have all featured since 2012. But the much-anticipated social harmony has been conspicuous by its absence with partisan politics having dominated the social and political spheres more than ever before. In addition, the polarisation seems to be still in the process of building up to a crescendo.

Q: Were The Mayas Wrong?

It is important to know that there is a metaphysical framework in the universe and that certain recurring social and societal trends can, indeed, be mapped according to specific time frames that fit into that metaphysical framework. That framework, being largely invisible, means that it is only (to an extent) accessible through anthropological or archaeological research, or through deep metaphysical study practices.

Propheciesunlike ancient calendar systemsare notoriously vague when it comes to exact future timelines or time frames. The Hopi Prophecy and The Prophecy of The Eagle and The Condor would both fall into that category. Although they are absolutely indispensable (and the Mayas embrace these two prophecies, too) for understanding the overall context of the shift of the ages, they are strictly speaking not Maya prophecies, because they are not specifically found (they did not originate from) within the structures of the Maya calendars.

Q: What, then, are the Maya Calendar Prophecies?

Prophecies for specific time frames can be found in the Maya Short Count calendar which contains prophecies that relate to 20-year periods known as katuns. It was these katun prophecies and their associated energies that pointed to the high polarity and volatility that would characterise the first two decades after 2012.

Modern-day forecasters should, therefore, have paid as much attention to the Short Count calendar as they did to the Long Count calendar. But prior to 2012, the Long Count calendarstole the show’ because it was used to calculate the date of the rare 5,125-year Great Cycle Fourth-to-Fifth-World shift at the end of 2012.

Q: How does the Short Count Calendar work?


The 256-year Short Count cycle (and calendar), which comprises 13 katuns of 19.7 years each (to be exact), is a fractal (which is – in the context of cycles – a cycle within a cycle) of the 5,125-year Long Count cycle (and calendar) and fits into it twenty times. Said differently, thirteen katuns make a Short Count cycle and twenty Short Count cycles make a Long Count cycle.

The Long Count calendar went out of use around 800 AD. It was replaced by the Short Count calendar which has been in use ever since by the post-Classic Yucatec Maya people. Maya calendar scholars and enthusiasts in the West ‘revived’ the Long Count calendar through their research prior to 2012.

How the Short Count Calendar works:

The Short Count calendar assigns a specific symbol called a tone to each of its thirteen katuns. This symbol (a number) denotes certain aspects of a katun’s energy. For example, right now we are in Katun 2 Ahau (between 2012 and 2032.) Tone 2 symbolises duality and polarity (among other characteristics). The katun prior to Katun 2 Ahau was Katun 4 Ahau (between 1993 and 2012.) Tone 4 represented stability and order and, overall, it appears to be one of the most stable energies found in the Maya calendars.

The Energy of the Age:

An immediate observation from the information above is that in 2012 the energy of the tones shifted metaphysically from stability to heightened polarity – and people who have been following world affairs would know that that has been exactly how things have played out.

The world has gone from relative order and stability during the 20 years prior to 2012 to palpable polarisation and disorder since then. That’s not to say that there wasn’t instability prior to 2012; it’s just that it wasn’t so palpable or extreme. This has been echoed by people who have in recent years reported that things have never been so polarised in their nations (from what they can remember) during their lifetimes [14].

Advantage of the Short Count Calendar:

The idea of an instant elevation of consciousness followed by a quick renewal of the world was certainly an appealing one during all the hype before the shift-point of 2012 … but it was based on not understanding the nature of the intermediate shift period between the two Great Cycles from the Maya Fourth to Fifth Worlds.

The great advantage of the Maya Short Count calendar is that it can be used to provide a relatively good idea of the nature of the shift period as it allows us to ‘zoom into’ the incremental stages of it. After doing that, we can ‘zoom out’ again to see the bigger picture. This approach could assist us in knowing when we can expect a return to more harmony from an energy perspective.

The Overall Length of the Great Shift:

The overall Great Cycle transition could take as long as an entire katun cycle of 256 years, meaning that there will be a long overlap phase between the two Great Cycles (for details, please see The Valley of Shadows in the Landscape of Light). As illustrated in the segment above, this overlap consists of smaller, incremental transitions that happen along the way which is how the transitions between very large cycles actually work.

To illustrate this point even further, a comparison can be made with the transition stages that are found between the Yuga cycles in the 24,000-year Vedic Great Year cycle from India. In that cycle, there are 200-year transition phases known as sandhis between some of the Yuga ages, with some sandhis taking as long as 300 or 400 years to run their course (more details can be found in the essay Energy Shifts – Part 5).

As an aside, the Vedic Great Year, just like the Maya Great Cycle, has incremental stages embedded within its sandhis which can also be ‘zoomed into’, as will also be illustrated later.

Rising and Falling Energy:

Now that we know that large cycles consist of smaller cycles within the larger cycles (fractals) and that – in the context of the Maya calendars we need to concentrate on the Short Count calendar instead of the Long Count calendar, we can consider an important energy trend that is found within the Maya calendars in general.

Energy flow rises and falls in a wave-like motion during a Maya calendar age or cycle. The energy of the age climbs the energy pyramid at the beginning of the age, reaches its peak at the mid-point of the age and then it descends on the other side of the energy pyramid to its lowest point where it would start to blend in with the energy of the following age. This means that all katuns can be divided into two halfkatuns, with the first half having growing energy and the second half having declining energy.

Said in a different way, the energy would rise in intensity and influence for the first 9.85 years of a katun after which it would recede for the second 9.85 years in the katun. The years around the crest of the energy pyramid would be peak-energy years in terms of energy intensity. This means that, during the present katun (2012 – 2032), the highest levels of duality and polarity (these elements being the dominant characteristics of this katun) could be expected to manifest between 2020 and 2025 (please see Illustration 1).

From 2026 onward, the energy intensity and polarity should start to decline again. Bearing that in mind, societal developments since 2012 may come to a head during the upcoming peak-energy years.

A Shift from Material to Spiritual Energy:

Another aspect of the energy pyramid worth factoring in is that, in some cycles [15], the energy influence would be more materialistic during the first half of the energy pyramid and it would be more spiritual during the second half. That could also be the case for this katun cycle and, if that happens, the transition point would be at the end of 2022. (Continued in Part 1-B)

By J.J. Montagnier

[Please note that this series is a work in progress. Some edits may occur after publication. Sometimes, content earmarked for follow-up chapters only makes it into later chapters.]

J.J. Montagnier is an independent researcher and writer. He has been studying and writing about Maya calendar-related subjects since 2014. He travelled to Central America in 2015 to familiarise himself better with Maya culture and history.

Continue to Next Chapter

Notes and References:

1. “Hopi Prophecy and the End of the Fourth World – Part 1” (2014, November 2). Ancient Origins | Reconstructing the story of humanity’s past. Retrieved June 28, 2020, from https://www.ancient-origins.net/myths-legends-americas/hopi-prophecy-and-end-fourth-world-part-1-002280

Hopi Prophecy and the End of the Fourth World – Part 2” (2014, November 3). Ancient Origins | Reconstructing the story of humanity’s past. Retrieved June 28, 2020, from https://www.ancient-origins.net/myths-legends-americas/hopi-prophecy-and-end-fourth-world-part-2-002281

2. “The Eagle and The Condor Prophecy: A 2,000-Year-Old message for the future” (2019, February 26). Ancient Pages. Retrieved June 28, 2020, from https://www.ancientpages.com/2017/04/21/the-eagle-and-the-condor-prophecy-a-2000-year-old-message-for-the-future/

3. Mayanism is an eclectic collection of New Age beliefs influenced in part by pre-Columbian Maya mythology and some folk beliefs of the modern Maya peoples.

Mayanism. (n.d.). Wiktionary, the free dictionary. Retrieved June 28, 2020, from https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/Mayanism

4. Latest Significant Earthquakes. (n.d.). Earthquakes – Earthquake today – Latest Earthquakes in the World – EMSC. https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/significant_earthquakes.php

5. List of volcanic eruptions in the 21st century. Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Retrieved June 28, 2020 from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_volcanic_eruptions_in_the_21st_century

6. “The Southern Hemisphere is scorching: Unprecedented heat in Chile, Argentina and Australia” (2019, February 7). The Washington Post. Retrieved June 28, 2020, from https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/02/07/southern-hemisphere-is-scorching-all-time-record-heat-set-chile-argentina-australia/

7. “Drought Parches Southern Africa, Millions Faced With Hunger” (2019, November 7). U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved June 28, 2020, from https://www.usnews.com/news/business/articles/2019-11-07/drought-parches-southern-africa-millions-faced-with-hunger

8. “Australia’s wildfires burned 21 percent of the country’s temperate forests” Hays, B. (2020, February 25). UPI. https://www.upi.com/Science_News/2020/02/25/Australias-wildfires-burned-21-percent-of-the-countrys-temperate-forests/2101582646080/

9. “Locust Swarms, Some 3 Times the Size of New York City, Are Eating Their Way Across Two Continents” (2020, March 23). InsideClimate News. Retrieved June 30, 2020, from https://insideclimatenews.org/news/20032020/locust-swarms-climate-change

10. Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection (MERS-CoV Infection). (n.d.). MedicineNet. Retrieved June 30, 2020, from https://www.medicinenet.com/mers_middle_east_respiratory_syndrome/article.htm

11. Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever (Ebola Virus Disease). Davis, C. P. (n.d.). MedicineNet. Retrieved June 30, 2020, from https://www.medicinenet.com/ebola_hemorrhagic_fever_ebola_hf/article.htm

12. Zika Virus. Davis, C. P. (n.d.). MedicineNet. Retrieved June 30, 2020, from https://www.medicinenet.com/zika_virus/article.htm#zika_virus_facts

13. COVID-19 (Coronavirus, 2019-nCoV). Davis, C. P. (n.d.). MedicineNet. Retrieved June 30, 2020, from https://www.medicinenet.com/wuhan_coronavirus_2019-ncov/article.htm

14. The Polarization of America. (2018, August 14). Psychology Today. Retrieved June 30, 2020, from https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/darwins-subterranean-world/201808/the-polarization-america

15. Note: An illustration of the material and spiritual sides of an energy pyramid during a Tracena (a 13-day Maya calendar week) is illustrated and explained by Mark Elmy in Guatemala on The Four Pillars website (thefourpillars.net)

7 Ajpu (2nd June, 2020). Elmy. (2020, May 30). The Four Pillars. https://thefourpillars.net/?p=6675

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  1. Brigido Anaya

    Well, it takes time for events to happen, in some of my posts I have mention that because the Axial Precession of the Equinoxes, of what we call a Platonic year 25,920 years, Ages shift approximately every 2, 160 years, one degree of the zodiac it’s equivalent to 72 years, there’s no agreement between Astrologers, as to when an age starts, or ends.

    However looking at events, we can see some changes on the way societies evolve, and change historically, the planet Uranus, was discovered in March 13, 1781, the French revolution started in 1789, as for example, the first steam locomotive in 1802. airplanes flew in 1,903, Nuclear fission on 1,945, and not for good, landing on the Moon 1969, and so on, progressively things happen, and we can say that it takes time for things to change in a cyclical Age.
    I believe we are already in the Aquarius age, around 1950, an age of light, but just begin to, so it will take more time to, and agree in what you say.

    • Jean-Jacques

      Very good points about the slowness of the changes and shifts. The benefit we have in the Maya Calendars specifically (which is my personal focus) is that there are cycles that measure and track daily shifts (the Tzolkin calendar), weekly shifts (also in the Tzolkin) monthly and yearly shifts (the Haab calendar) and more – for example, there are 20 year-shifts (the Katuns cycle).

      The Tzolkin and the Katuns cycle are the Human and the Social cycles and they are both used for divination and for organising personal lives and society. Many people just concentrate on the daily and weekly shifts in the Tzolkin and that’s enough for them, other look at the larger cycles. So, that’s just for some of the Mayan calendars (a blend of earth and cosmic energies).

      There are so many (other) cycles and systems, but the reality is that – as you say – significant changes related to an evolution of consciousness (can) take very long indeed – and often history returns. So, it can be 2 steps forward, 1 step back much of the time …

      Very interesting what you mentioned about the influence of Uranus. I read something about that before, but I need to look it up again. The Mayas have a 52 year cycle that is meant to repeat. So many things tend to come around every 52 (or 104) years and the energy often resemble that of 52 or 104 years ago – this could even include wars or autocratic regimes returning, etc …

      Let’s hope that we can skip any major wars in the next few years since the world already has a lot of problems as it is – I think the best thing that people can do is to not allow themselves to be caught up in the energy of dualism and confrontation that is so ripe right now.

      Events and circumstances and history depends as much on human responses to the energy cycles as it depends on the cycles themselves. Perhaps that’s our challenge here on this planet to develop the ability to not be at the whims of the shifting energetic forces of the universe.

      Much appreciated for this discussion, Mr Anaya.

  2. Annie

    I find your discussion of the short term calendar and the rising and falling energies of the Mayan philosophy fascinating and very organic. As we’ve entered this accelerated transition phase of change and challenges it seems like a good idea to attend to inner balance and calm as an antidote to the outer storms. I’m looking forward to your next chapters

    • Jean-Jacques

      Thank you for your comment, Annie. Feedback like yours inspires me to continue my research and writing on the Maya philosophy and culture. The next installment is in progress and should be up towards the end of the month.

  3. Martina Ramsauer

    I am very impressed, Jean-Jacques, by what you are telling me about the Maya calendar and about the occuring changes . I am asking myself a lot about the WHY we seem to become less and less able to make compromises or to live in harmony and I thought it was in connection with our individualistic way of behaviour! Concentrating too much on ourselves probably leads to less conciousness of the whole and therefore, as you say, to a less developed state!
    Many thanks, for what you teach us and all the very best Martina:)

    • Jean-Jacques

      Thank you for sharing your thoughts, Martina! Yes, I think another part of the reason is that because people are so engaged in social medias, it’s difficult for them to not get drawn into the polarization – frankly, I think people really LOVE to argue and fight (verbally), so the new medias and devices give a lot of opportunity to do it remotely and safely … but I’m convinced that people get a real ‘kick’ or ‘buzz’ out of online fights 😀 … I always appreciate your comments, Martina. My most recent chapter was developed around one of the questions you posed in one of your comments: “How do we know what is true and what is not?” That really got me thinking … so thank you for the inspiration! 🙂
      With my best wishes,

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